The 142nd running of the Kentucky Oaks from Churchill Downs will run on Friday, May 6th, 2016 with a local post time of 5:49 eastern standard time. So, set your watches accordingly!
In this race for three-year-old fillies (the girls version of the derby) the Rogue Ratings™ computer program has projected six horses to be in the mix of this race for when they hit the wire which tells you that it’s a contentious group of contenders with really no clear standout.
The RogueHandicapper.com feels from a form-cycle up tick perspective these couple of horses have consider which are: #4-Go Maggie Go *R2* (12/1), #9-Paola Queen *S* (30/1) and #13-Land Over Sea *R2* (5/1).
Now, looking at the race from a race shape perspective it sets up best for the Rogue Horse which is the #3-Lewis Bay (8-1) per the rogue ratings computer program as she fits the Early Speed/ Velocity Par the best for this race and the race looks to have a good amount of runners vying for the lead in this the 142nd running of the Kentucky Oaks.
Understand that the lower the Velocity number the better with a ‘0’ number being a perfect run race for a horse as it is efficiently using it’s energy from gate to wire. Simply put, it measures a horse’s projected motor efficiency!
For betting advice in this race or really any other I recommend boxing horses in the exacta (first two finishers), trifecta boxing (first three finishers) or keying one or two horses in the top two positions with the other selected/ projected plays from the rogue ratings computer program in your exacta or trifecta bets. I know sometimes this can become costly especially when you have as in this case six projected selections.
The RogueHandicapper.com feels the best course of action in this race with the abundance of six projected/ selected horses is to find one or two key horses to use in first and second position (key them) in your exacta or trifecta bets with the additional horses (putting them around your key horse or horses).
For new fans or novice horseplayers looking for an exact betting combination from the Rogue Handicapper® will get this,
- Use just one horse as a key or both horses as keys in your betting: #3-Lewis Bay (8-1) *R* and #13-Land Over Sea (5/1) *R2* with the other projected selections from the Rogue Ratings™.
- Use the two key horses #3 & #13 in the first spot and second spot of your exactas and or trifectas.
- Your exacta tickets would look like this at a $1.00 bet: 3/4-8-9-11-13 & 4-8-9-11-13/ 3 =$10.00 total for both combinations. 13/ 3-4-8-9-11, 3-4-8-9-11/ 13 =$10.00 total for both combinations and if you are wanting to bet $2.00 you would just double the cost.
- Your trifecta tickets would look like this at a $1.00 bet: 3/4-8-9-11-13/ 4-8-9-11-13 & 4-8-9-11-13/ 3/ 4-8-9-11-13 =$40.00 total for both combinations and for 13/ 3-4-8-9-11/ 3-4-8-9-11 & 3-4-8-9-11/ 13/ 3-4-8-9-11 =$40.00 total for both combinations. If your looking to wager $2.00 you would just double the cost.
- In both cases for the exacta bet or trifecta wagers you are only putting the #3 and #13 horse in the first and second positions. Which means that you need the #3 or #13 to run first or second with the other horses needing to finish first or second around your key horses for you to win your exacta bet. And for you to win your trifecta bet you need the #3 or #13 to finish first or second with the other horses finishing around them in the top three positions.
And as always may the horse or horses be with you at the wire!
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